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FuzZ
Poppler
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That's great news!! Wish I could support the ratings myself, but sadly I live in Norway :\
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[-mArc-]
Administrator
Liquid Emperor
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This guy usually posts data: http://twitter.com/travisyanan . Nielsen seems to have had some problem with their data. He says it will take until Monday.
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Aki
Professor
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Thursday cable finals
The First 48 (9pm) - 1.681 million viewers - 1.1/2 HH - 0.6/2 A18-49
Bethenny Getting Married (10pm) - 2.259 million viewers - 1.6/3 HH - 1.1/3 A18-49
Futurama (10pm) - 2.013 million viewers - 1.3/2 HH - 1.0/3 A18-49
River Monsters (9pm) - 1.211 million viewers - 0.8/1 HH - 0.5/1 A18-49
LeBron James: The Decision (9pm, 74 minutes) - 9.948 million viewers - 6.1/11 HH - 4.3/14 A18-49
TNA: Impact (9pm, 120 minutes) - 1.450 million viewers - 1.0/2 HH - 0.4/1 A18-49
The OCD Project (10pm) - 0.416 million viewers - 0.3/1 HH - 0.2/1 A18-49
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TheBoz
Crustacean
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Please stay above 2million to be renewed! Im guessing we will know by the end of this season if its been renewed for 8 and 9?
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Aki
Professor
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I just went and looked at the numbers for Ugly Americans, and they're fairly similar. That show has been renewed for the fall. I recognize that there's a difference between the two shows (futurama is more expensive to produce, for one), but it seems like a good sign.
How many episodes in is it then? Futurama's been sinking by every episode this season, although for four episodes that's not to say much.
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TheBoz
Crustacean
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I just went and looked at the numbers for Ugly Americans, and they're fairly similar. That show has been renewed for the fall. I recognize that there's a difference between the two shows (futurama is more expensive to produce, for one), but it seems like a good sign.
But theyre would be no way Comedy Central would be paying the full cost, probably only half. Alot of Futurama's Revenue comes from international sales, syndication and of Course DVD sales which FOX would have the rights too. Im no expert on the subject but id image thats what is happening?
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Svip
Administrator
DOOP Secretary
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Maybe you should explain what scares you.
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Aki
Professor
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Yay, Futurama going up! And this episode being the best of the season yet, it deserves it.
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Aki
Professor
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Please stay above 2million to be renewed! Im guessing we will know by the end of this season if its been renewed for 8 and 9?
I dunno about no renewal. There seems to be some well placed talk about the creation of the third last, the second last, and the final episodes of the series. I know they've thought they were doing that before, only to be brought back by the Fox overlords, but the way the final episodes are being described, it sounds to me like maybe Groening and Cohen are wanting to end it on their terms and would not necessarily be trying for an extension of the series.
Really? I've got no quote to support me, but from what I recall it sounded a lot like "we'll just wait and see and hope". The last episode as described so far seems a lot less serious than previous ones, more like an experimental one that would end the series nicely in worst case but still wouldn't end it permanently in better cases.
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speedracer
Bending Unit
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« Reply #74 on: 07-29-2010 05:29 »
« Last Edit on: 07-29-2010 05:42 »
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Week-to-week fluctuations in Nielsen ratings of this size are pretty meaningless.
According to sO's figures, 1 Nielsen box = about 20,000 viewers, so this means Futurama appears on about 100 Nielsen boxes every week (2 million viewers). There are 25,000 live Nielsen boxes right now, according to Wikipedia.
With these figures, you'd expect the standard deviation to be about 10 Nielsen boxes per week, or 200,000 viewers. This probably should be cut down a little bit, because TV viewers don't conform to a uniform Bernoulli distribution, but the general point that these rating fluctuations are mostly random noise still holds.
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speedracer
Bending Unit
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This Nielsen system is a bit foreign to be (being a foreigner and all), but 25k boxes * 20k viewers/box = 500m viewers seems a bit high.
From Rebirth's numbers I arrive at around 6,500 viewers/box if I don't get the Nielsen system wrong: Rebirth had 2.923 m viewers and a 1.8/3 household rating. If 1 Nielsen household = 1 box and if 25,000 boxes exist, then 25,000 * 1.8% = 450 boxes were switched to Futurama. That would result in 2.923m / 450 = 6,495 viewers/box. With the numbers from other episodes, I arrive at around 5,000 viewers/box. No idea if some of the assumptions are wrong or if I'm misinterpreting one of the figures...
Still not a great sample size.
Well, I guess we're implicitly assuming that the average # of people per Futurama-watching household = average # of people in any household and that that stays constant, but that's not really a huge deal. The true number of Nielsen boxes tuned in to Futurama is still only on the order of a couple hundred. The standard deviation is approximately equal to the square root of the number of Nielsen boxes, so it's always going to be pretty big. 2.1 million +/- 200,000 seems a pretty accurate range for the Futurama viewership in the USA (discounting the season premiere, which was always going to be higher). It's not steadily losing viewers as it did its first couple seasons on FOX.
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